Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 24.728249 28.120509 31.829669 36.189841 41.179619 46.717024 53.335714
2025-01-05 19.397152 23.926232 29.312047 36.204042 44.812019 55.238182 68.870165
2025-01-12 15.506081 20.408473 26.643402 35.187538 46.644533 61.550714 82.536872
2025-01-19 12.990709 18.043641 24.839655 34.702542 48.743177 68.152031 97.257270
2025-01-26 11.655303 16.967860 24.471407 35.924853 53.115245 78.192340 117.979240
2025-02-02 10.740189 16.304189 24.513807 37.625438 58.264834 89.876059 142.670113
2025-02-09 9.713214 15.304923 23.883133 38.150352 61.591466 99.107021 164.745850
2025-02-16 8.588048 13.991185 22.574912 37.382325 62.671090 104.789743 181.673169
2025-02-23 7.673797 12.893297 21.457945 36.742331 63.804480 110.588490 199.455169
2025-03-02 6.926281 11.977463 20.520633 36.260062 65.090519 116.717117 218.552617
2025-03-09 6.360047 11.303299 19.908083 36.250067 67.172673 124.447604 241.604504
2025-03-16 5.851452 10.671058 19.291708 36.141628 69.023995 131.918641 265.114318
2025-03-23 5.570882 10.440583 19.405449 37.472505 73.908833 146.038659 304.588885
2025-03-30 5.179093 9.959860 19.004149 37.768014 76.812099 156.680982 338.615962
2025-04-06 4.684006 9.224448 18.032927 36.805189 77.017397 161.824664 361.549442
2025-04-13 4.301076 8.667297 17.346673 36.332639 78.168164 169.065569 390.225203
2025-04-20 4.135533 8.532263 17.493419 37.628726 83.308144 185.658867 443.245271
2025-04-27 4.026657 8.502038 17.850471 39.419144 89.779939 206.114868 508.903806
2025-05-04 3.815863 8.230871 17.665147 39.972213 93.469291 220.609926 562.079926
2025-05-11 3.514290 7.729679 16.926514 39.166426 93.829337 227.183004 595.877608
2025-05-18 3.252029 7.289527 16.277900 38.494662 94.425851 234.408181 632.593604
2025-05-25 3.025863 6.908868 15.725275 37.988371 95.368539 242.629131 673.412334
2025-06-01 2.852800 6.634312 15.390299 37.977909 97.577654 254.430464 726.360819